3650 CEDARPLAZA LN, DALLAS, TX, 75209
$32,060,510
2025 Appraised Value
↑ 14.9% from prior year
📍 This parcel is part of the AVANA WEST LEMMON community — scraped data shown is for the full community.
Windsor West Lemmon presents a mature, efficiently-operated stabilized asset priced at a 2.96% cap rate—150+ bps below submarket average—that masks mounting operational headwinds and structural valuation risk. The property's $32.1M appraisal (14.9% YoY appreciation) and 55% opex ratio reflect a well-run asset, but asking rents are 20–25% below market benchmarks across all unit types ($1.1K studios vs. $1.5K market; $1.3K 1BR vs. $1.8K market), indicating competitive positioning weakness rather than temporary softness in a market up 20.1% YoY. A 45-unit pipeline (27.9% of existing inventory) will deliver into softening vacancy during 2026–2027, directly impairing rent growth assumptions embedded in the current valuation. Demographic fundamentals are strong ($132.5K median HHI, 34.7% earning $150K+ in 3-mile radius), but Walk Score of 42 creates an automobile-dependent asset that typically trades at a 10–15% rent discount—a constraint potentially already priced into the current discount to market but unresolved by operational levers.
Recommendation: PASS or WATCHLIST. The asset is competently managed and debt-serviceable, but the combination of rent-to-market discount, imminent supply pressure, and valuation sensitivity to rate assumptions makes this a higher-risk stabilized play with limited margin of safety. Better positioned as a watch-list candidate if cap rate expands materially (4.0%+) or if occupancy data shows faster rent-to-market convergence.
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Class B+ asset with solid, standardized finishes but limited upside. Windsor West Lemmon's 161 units feature uniform 2015-2018 era kitchens with quartz countertops, dark espresso cabinetry, and stainless steel appliances—a cohesive aesthetic that supports Class B positioning without deferred maintenance red flags. The exterior shows well-maintained contemporary architecture with professional landscaping and thoughtful courtyard amenities (arch structures, seating areas), indicating competent asset management. However, the builder-grade Frigidaire-tier appliances and lack of any interior unit variance suggest this was a standard developer finish-out with minimal value-add runway; meaningful NOI expansion will depend on rent growth rather than capital improvement arbitrage.
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Location Profile Mismatches Fundamentals
Walk Score of 42 indicates genuine car dependency, undercutting the $1.1K rent positioning for a 161-unit product. Transit Score of 41 and Bike Score of 54 collectively signal limited multimodal accessibility—this property depends almost entirely on automobile commuting, which typically commands a 10–15% rent discount versus comparable walkable assets. The sub-$1.2K rent suggests a workforce-housing or value-oriented tenant base, yet the car-dependent location may already price in this constraint; validate whether nearby employment clusters and arterial access (Lemmon Avenue connectivity) justify current rent or require operational concessions to maintain occupancy against higher-walkability competitors.
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Pipeline represents 27.9% of existing inventory—a material headwind to near-term rent growth. The 45-unit construction pipeline is geographically dispersed across multiple Dallas submarkets rather than concentrated competition, which mitigates direct cannibalization risk. However, the permit timeline is concerning: multiple projects are in advanced stages (Inspection Phase, Plan Review) with filing dates spanning Sept 2025–March 2026, suggesting deliveries will likely hit market in 2026–2027 when Windsor West Lemmon is competing for occupancy. The deteriorating submarket vacancy trend compounds supply risk, as new units will be absorbed into a softening demand environment rather than a tight market.
| Distance | Address | Description | Status | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4 mi | 3700 INWOOD RD | QTEAM MEETING Senior Living community with independent li... | Inspection Phase | May 28, 2025 |
| 1.0 mi | 2811 HONDO AVE | New construction of 12 unit townhome on two lots; 6 units... | Inspection Phase | Jul 16, 2021 |
| 1.0 mi | 4330 DICKASON AVE | New construction of multi-family// 4330 Dickason. | Plan Review | Jun 29, 2022 |
| 1.0 mi | 2723 HONDO AVE | New construction, multifamily.6 dwelling units. | Inspection Phase | Nov 27, 2024 |
| 1.0 mi | 2314 ARROYO AVE | he proposed work includes the construction of three-story... | In Review | Sep 16, 2025 |
| 1.0 mi | 2702 KIMSEY DR | THE ASTRID APARTMENTS PROJECT WILL BE A NEW, THREE-STORY ... | In Review | Aug 29, 2025 |
| 1.0 mi | 2710 KIMSEY DR | New MFD project for a 3 story 5 unit townhome apartment c... | Plan Review | Jan 22, 2025 |
| 1.1 mi | 2514 LUCAS DR | (1131) MULTI-FAMILY DWELLING / 5 UNIT MULTIFAMILY | Inspection Phase | Feb 24, 2025 |
| 1.2 mi | 3900 LEMMON AVE | New construction of MFD project. 406 dwelling units with ... | Revisions Required | Aug 21, 2024 |
| 1.2 mi | 4005 N HALL ST | QTEAM MEETING - 7.23.2025 - 8 unit multifamily new constr... | Payment Due | Jun 17, 2025 |
| 1.2 mi | 4011 N HALL ST | QTEAM MEETING 7.22.2025 - 8 unit multifamily new construc... | Payment Due | Jun 17, 2025 |
| 1.2 mi | 4013 N HALL ST | QTEAM MEETING 7.17.2025 8 unit multifamily new construction | Payment Due | Jun 17, 2025 |
| 1.3 mi | 4501 AFTON ST | Residential use | Inspection Phase | Nov 23, 2021 |
| 1.6 mi | 3555 DICKASON AVE | Q-Team Migrated NEW 4 LEVEL ABOVE GRADE GARAGE(1-3.5).LEV... | Payment Due | Mar 24, 2021 |
| 1.7 mi | 4555 TRAVIS ST | QTEAM PROJECT The project is a mixed use project of appro... | Revisions Required | Aug 26, 2022 |
| 1.8 mi | 2505 TURTLE CREEK BLVD | New construction of 20-story assisted living building wit... | Inspection Phase | Aug 06, 2024 |
| 2.0 mi | 2143 SHEA RD | QTEAM MEETING TBD Condo/townhome project with 5 units in ... | Payment Due | Mar 11, 2026 |
| 2.0 mi | 2147 SHEA RD | QTEAM MEETING TBD Condo/townhome project with 5 units in ... | Payment Due | Mar 11, 2026 |
| 2.0 mi | 2204 LOVEDALE AVE | New Construction of 5-unit condo building | Inspection Phase | Feb 18, 2025 |
| 2.0 mi | 2243 LOVEDALE AVE | 2243 Lovedale - New construction of a 6 unit townhome | Plan Review | Jul 30, 2025 |
| 2.0 mi | 4777 N CENTRAL EXPY | New podium structured multifamily building with below gra... | Inspection Phase | Jul 02, 2024 |
| 2.1 mi | 5115 MCKINNEY AVE | New construction of mixed use building.90 multifamily uni... | Plan Review | Jul 16, 2023 |
| 2.1 mi | 2155 MAIL AVE | Commercial new construction (5) unit multifamily developm... | Inspection Phase | Feb 11, 2025 |
| 2.1 mi | 2030 SHEA RD | 11 Condos New construction | Permit About to Expire | Aug 21, 2023 |
| 2.1 mi | 2033 SHEA RD | New Construction. 5 unit condo building | Inspection Phase | Nov 13, 2024 |
| 2.1 mi | 2247 MAIL AVE | 2247 Mail Ave - New MFD project for a 3 story 5-unit town... | Inspection Phase | Nov 05, 2024 |
| 2.2 mi | 4609 MANETT ST | QTEAM MEETING 8.12.2025 (1:30 PM) new townhomes | Revisions Required | Jun 17, 2025 |
| 2.2 mi | 3031 N HARWOOD ST | QTEAM MEETING 9.4.2025 3131 N Harwood For Office and 303... | Revisions Required | Jul 21, 2025 |
| 2.3 mi | 2702 MCKINNEY AVE | 2700 McKinney - 21 Story Mixed Use Tower Including Retail... | Payment Due | Jun 09, 2022 |
| 2.3 mi | 4739 GRETNA ST | 18 Townhouses in 2 phases. 9 units each phase. PHASE 1 BU... | Inspection Phase | Jan 15, 2025 |
| 2.6 mi | 8300 DOUGLAS AVE | QTEAM MEETING 3.2.2026 / 1.14.2026 (9AM) New construction... | Plan Review | Nov 06, 2025 |
| 2.7 mi | 4704 MONARCH ST | Multifamily New Construction, 8 townhouses with 2 bedrooms | Inspection Phase | Apr 01, 2025 |
| 2.7 mi | 1902 N CARROLL AVE | New Construction of 3 story 33 townhouses with garage at ... | Inspection Phase | Jul 01, 2022 |
| 2.8 mi | 1906 MOSER AVE | QTEAM MEETING 3.10.2026 (All Day) new multifamily constru... | Revisions Required | Jan 20, 2026 |
| 2.8 mi | 1722 N FITZHUGH AVE | 5 Townhome Units New Construction (Multifamily) | Plan Review | Dec 10, 2025 |
| 2.8 mi | 1717 N PEAK ST | Commercial New construction of a 7-unit multi-family buil... | Payment Due | Feb 27, 2025 |
| 2.8 mi | 1714 RIPLEY ST | New construction of five townhomes. | Inspection Phase | Jun 19, 2024 |
| 2.9 mi | 3608 SAN JACINTO ST | New residential townhomes | Inspection Phase | May 26, 2022 |
| 2.9 mi | 4315 SCURRY ST | Q Team review for East Village New Construction for 15 -... | Inspection Phase | May 04, 2022 |
| 2.9 mi | 4319 SAN JACINTO ST | New Construction 9 unit multifamily. | Inspection Phase | Sep 17, 2024 |
| 2.9 mi | 4315 SAN JACINTO ST | New construction of 9 units multifamily | Payment Due | Sep 17, 2024 |
| 3.0 mi | 5731 RICHMOND AVE | QTEAM MEETING 10.21.2025 (AM) New construction of six-uni... | Inspection Phase | Sep 23, 2025 |
| 3.0 mi | 4405 SCURRY ST | Q-Team 4405 Scurry for a New, Commercial Multifamily deve... | Revisions Required | Nov 20, 2024 |
| 3.0 mi | 4320 SCURRY ST | Q Team for East Village II New Construction for 3 buildin... | Inspection Phase | May 19, 2022 |
| 3.0 mi | 4475 SCURRY ST | New Construction of 18 unit Multifamily. | Inspection Phase | Oct 11, 2024 |
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Windsor West Lemmon presents refinancing risk with limited exit flexibility. The $22.8M loan originated concurrent with the 2021 acquisition (70.1% LTV) matures at an unknown date, but given typical 10-year insurance company terms, refinancing would occur at current rates materially higher than the acquisition-era pricing. The single transaction in 4.5 years and absentee corporate ownership suggest a long-term hold, but absent maturity date and DSCR data, debt service capacity under stress cannot be assessed. Without rate, term, and payment details, refinancing headroom relative to the $202.2K per-unit loan amount remains opaque.
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Windsor West Lemmon is priced as stabilized at a 2.96% cap rate—150+ basis points below the 5.19% submarket average—reflecting either strong operational performance or market premium positioning that demands scrutiny. NOI per unit of $6.0K is robust for Dallas Class A, though the 55% opex ratio and 0.6% vacancy suggest limited upside; this is a mature, efficiently-run asset rather than a value-add play. The $511K spread between appraised value ($32.1M) and estimated sale price ($32.6M) is immaterial, but the implied 3.01% cap rate signals the market is pricing in sustained low-rate conditions or assuming rent growth—vulnerable assumptions if rates normalize.
Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Based on most recent loan: $22,800,000 (Oct 2021, attom)
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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Windsor West Lemmon is a 161-unit, 10-story high-rise apartment built in 2015 with wood frame construction and 156.8K sf of gross building area. The property carries excellent quality and condition ratings but offers limited location walkability (Walk Score: 42) in its Dallas neighborhood. Parking type is not specified in available records, and amenity/utility details are absent from the dataset.
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Windsor West Lemmon is significantly underleasing relative to submarket benchmarks across all unit types. Current asking rents average $1.1K for studios, $1.3K for one-bedrooms, and $1.8K for two-bedrooms—20–25% below market benchmarks of $1.5K, $1.8K, and $2.5K respectively. The property is actively leasing (1 active listing, 20 lease events in 7 days) with no concessions noted, suggesting the discount reflects weak positioning rather than temporary market softness in a submarket up 20.1% YoY. The consistent leasing velocity masks fundamental competitiveness issues that will limit revenue capture in the near term.
Estimated from listed vacancies vs total units
| Unit | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | Status | Listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,117 | Active | Jun 11 | 665 | |
|
Jun $1,117
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,295 | $2,099 | Inactive | Dec 26 | 1 | |
|
Dec $2,099
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,294 | $2,069 | Inactive | May 30 | 1 | |
|
May $2,114
→
May $2,069
(↓2.1%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,939 | Inactive | Feb 7 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,754
→
Jan $1,939
→
Feb $1,939
(↑10.5%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,919 | Inactive | Jan 8 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,919
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,299 | $1,889 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Feb $1,889
→
Feb $1,889
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,889 | Inactive | May 28 | 1 | |
|
May $1,884
→
May $1,889
(↑0.3%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,884 | Inactive | Dec 26 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,874
→
Dec $1,874
→
Dec $1,884
(↑0.5%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,874 | Inactive | Dec 21 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,874
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,844 | Inactive | May 28 | 1 | |
|
May $1,844
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,299 | $1,824 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,854
→
Feb $1,824
(↓1.6%)
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,080 | $1,799 | Inactive | Feb 10 | 1 | |
|
Feb $1,799
|
|||||||
| Unit 222 | 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,690 | Inactive | Feb 19 | 5 |
| 2BR | 2 | 1,126 | $1,664 | Inactive | Dec 25 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,664
|
|||||||
| 2BR | 2 | 1,080 | $1,634 | Inactive | Feb 7 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,649
→
Jan $1,634
→
Feb $1,634
(↓0.9%)
|
|||||||
| Unit 114 | 1BR | 1 | 822 | $1,605 | Inactive | Feb 21 | 3 |
| Unit 223 | 2BR | 2 | 1,685 | $1,605 | Inactive | Feb 21 | 3 |
| 1BR | 1 | 854 | $1,529 | Inactive | Jun 3 | 1 | |
|
May $1,424
→
Jun $1,529
(↑7.4%)
|
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| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,524 | Inactive | Jun 3 | 1 | |
|
May $1,524
→
Jun $1,524
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,504 | Inactive | Jun 1 | 1 | |
|
May $1,399
→
May $1,399
→
May $1,504
→
Jun $1,504
(↑7.5%)
|
|||||||
| Unit 111 | 1BR | 1 | 839 | $1,470 | Inactive | Feb 19 | 5 |
| 1BR | 1 | 692 | $1,399 | Inactive | Dec 26 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,399
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,384 | Inactive | Dec 21 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,384
→
Dec $1,384
→
Dec $1,384
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 775 | $1,379 | Inactive | Dec 21 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,379
|
|||||||
| Unit 112 | 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,345 | Inactive | Feb 21 | 3 |
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,329 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,419
→
Jan $1,329
→
Feb $1,329
(↓6.3%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,329 | Inactive | Jan 24 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,434
→
Jan $1,329
(↓7.3%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,304 | Inactive | Feb 10 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,324
→
Jan $1,324
→
Feb $1,304
(↓1.5%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,299 | Inactive | Feb 9 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,299
→
Jan $1,299
→
Feb $1,299
→
Feb $1,299
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,294 | Inactive | Feb 2 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,404
→
Jan $1,404
→
Jan $1,294
→
Feb $1,294
(↓7.8%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 775 | $1,284 | Inactive | Feb 5 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,384
→
Jan $1,384
→
Feb $1,284
(↓7.2%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,279 | Inactive | Feb 10 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,369
→
Dec $1,384
→
Jan $1,324
→
Jan $1,279
→
Feb $1,279
→
Feb $1,279
(↓6.6%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,279 | Inactive | Jan 21 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,279
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 688 | $1,279 | Inactive | Jan 20 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,364
→
Jan $1,279
→
Jan $1,279
(↓6.2%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,274 | Inactive | Dec 21 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,274
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 787 | $1,264 | Inactive | Feb 9 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,264
→
Feb $1,264
→
Feb $1,264
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| 1BR | 1 | 771 | $1,229 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,334
→
Jan $1,324
→
Jan $1,229
→
Feb $1,229
(↓7.9%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 568 | $1,199 | Inactive | Jun 4 | 1 | |
|
May $1,234
→
May $1,199
→
Jun $1,199
(↓2.8%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,184 | Inactive | May 10 | 1 | |
|
May $1,184
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,179 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,079
→
Jan $1,179
→
Feb $1,179
(↑9.3%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,179 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,074
→
Jan $1,179
→
Feb $1,179
→
Feb $1,179
(↑9.8%)
|
|||||||
| Unit 11 | BR | 1 | 561 | $1,140 | Inactive | Feb 21 | 3 |
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,109 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,109
→
Jan $1,109
→
Feb $1,109
→
Feb $1,109
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 568 | $1,089 | Inactive | Dec 26 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,129
→
Dec $1,089
(↓3.5%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 568 | $1,064 | Inactive | May 28 | 1 | |
|
May $1,064
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,034 | Inactive | Feb 10 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,034
→
Feb $1,034
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 561 | $1,034 | Inactive | Jan 22 | 1 | |
|
Jan $1,034
→
Jan $1,034
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 579 | $1,029 | Inactive | Dec 26 | 1 | |
|
Dec $1,029
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 579 | $1,004 | Inactive | Feb 11 | 1 | |
|
Feb $1,004
→
Feb $1,004
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
| Studio | 1 | 579 | $999 | Inactive | Feb 10 | 1 | |
|
Feb $999
→
Feb $999
(↑0.0%)
|
|||||||
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Affluent urban core with strong rent support, but demand is concentrated in immediate 3-mile radius. The 1-mile submarket supports $1.1K rent with a 19.8% affordability ratio against $114.1K median HHI, while the 3-mile radius—the true demand zone—strengthens to $132.5K HHI (18.7% ratio) and skews heavily upmarket: 34.7% of households earn $150K+. The 59.0% renter concentration in the 1-mile radius signals depth, but expands only modestly to 64.5% at 3 miles, suggesting this is an infill location drawing from a broader affluent geography rather than a true renter-dense corridor. Income distribution is decisively bifurcated—the under-$25K and $25–$50K cohorts represent only 26.9% of the 3-mile market, indicating minimal workforce housing demand; this property is positioned for high-earning renters, not the broader rental market.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 9 tracts (1mi)
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Unit Mix Analysis: WINDSOR WEST LEMMON
The property skews heavily toward studios and one-bedrooms (21.1% and 13.0% of units, respectively), typical of an urban young-professional product, but the data is incomplete—only studio rents ($1.1K, 561 sf) are populated, preventing price-point comparison across bedroom types. The absence of any three-bedroom units and minimal two-bedroom exposure (15 units, 9.3%) suggests this asset is positioned away from family occupancy, which limits upside flexibility if market demand shifts toward larger units. Without comparable market data and complete rent rolls, the strategic implication remains unclear, but the studio-heavy concentration creates rent-growth ceiling risk if young-professional demand softens in the Dallas market.
Estimated from 49 listed units (30.4% of 161 total)
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Appraisal & Valuation
Windsor West Lemmon appraised at $32.1M ($199.1K/unit) in 2025, up 14.9% year-over-year—a sharp appreciation that outpaces typical Dallas multifamily comps and likely reflects either recent lease rate momentum or appraisal lag catch-up. The land-to-total split of 11.7% is tight for a 2015-vintage asset, leaving minimal redevelopment upside; value lies entirely in operational performance. Without prior-year comparables, the strength of that YoY jump warrants validation against actual rent growth and market cap rates to confirm whether it reflects market fundamentals or inflated appraised value.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $32,060,510 | +14.9% |
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