630 W PAGE AVE, DALLAS, TX
$49,388,860
2025 Appraised Value
THE OAKS presents a structurally sound but operationally constrained senior housing play in a bifurcated market. The 2022 vintage asset at $49.4M ($189.9K/unit) benefits from negligible near-term supply pressure (11.2% pipeline) and strong walkability (Walk Score 85) that supports senior resident independence—however, the property's viability depends entirely on capturing fixed-income seniors (38.7% of 1-mile residents earn <$50K) in a market where 91.2% of asset value sits in depreciating improvements with minimal land optionality for future repositioning. The demographic income bifurcation (heavy concentration <$50K and $100K+, thin middle class) confirms the senior-focused strategy is necessary but also locks the asset into a lower-margin, narrower tenant pool; transit gaps (Score 53) further constrain non-senior appeal. Without baseline occupancy, rent, and expense data, the per-unit appraisal appears market-reasonable, but the single Google review and fragmented competitive pipeline provide insufficient quality and lease-growth signal.
Recommendation: Watch-list pending operational audit. This is a hold-and-stabilize asset rather than a value-add or land-play opportunity; proceed only if management quality and trailing 12-month NOI justify the $49.4M basis and if resident interviews validate strong retention and pricing power within the senior segment.
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Location Profile Supports Senior Demographic but Transit Gap Limits Upside
Walk Score of 85 indicates robust pedestrian infrastructure—critical for THE OAKS' senior resident base who may be aging out of car dependency. However, Transit Score of 53 (Good, not Excellent) suggests reliance on personal vehicles or ride services for longer trips, a friction point for this demographic. Bike Score of 60 is immaterial for senior housing. Without rent data, we cannot assess whether this walkable location commands appropriate pricing relative to comparable senior communities in Dallas; a 85 Walk Score typically supports 8–12% rent premium in urban/suburban multifamily, but senior properties trade on different metrics (proximity to medical/care services, not restaurants/retail).
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The 29-unit pipeline represents only 11.2% of THE OAKS' 260-unit inventory, a manageable competitive threat. However, the permit activity is highly fragmented across 15 separate filings in adjacent south Dallas zips (75208, 75215, 75216, 75203, 75211), suggesting dispersed rather than concentrated supply pressure—most are stuck in revision or payment status, indicating slower-than-typical delivery timelines. The lack of unit counts on permitted projects and absence of completion dates prevent quantifying direct market share risk, but the permitting delays suggest limited near-term lease competition.
| Distance | Address | Description | Status | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 mi | 713 W 12TH ST | NEW CONSTRUCTION, FOUR APARTMENTS TOTAL OF 1917 SQ. FT. | Revisions Required | Jun 18, 2024 |
| 0.4 mi | 508 W 9TH ST | Multifamily Townhomes | Document Received | Mar 11, 2026 |
| 0.4 mi | 419 W 10TH ST | QTEAM MEETING 11.6.2025 New Construction - multifamily -... | Inspection Phase | Sep 29, 2025 |
| 0.4 mi | 210 W SUFFOLK AVE | 4-UNIT TOWNHOUSE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE SAME DESIGN AND LAY... | Revisions Required | May 13, 2025 |
| 0.4 mi | 125 N ADAMS AVE | New Construction MF 9 condos | Inspection Phase | Jun 18, 2024 |
| 0.5 mi | 516 W 9TH ST | Multifamily Townhomes | Document Received | Mar 11, 2026 |
| 0.5 mi | 416 W 9TH ST | New construction 8-unit townhomes | Revisions Required | Oct 07, 2024 |
| 0.5 mi | 504 W 9TH ST | New Construction of 9 condos | Inspection Phase | Jun 18, 2024 |
| 0.5 mi | 525 MELBA ST | QTEAM MEETING 8.4.2025 1:30PM To Build 5 (4 story) Condom... | Inspection Phase | Jun 23, 2025 |
| 0.6 mi | 217 MELBA ST | Multifamily residential building with 99 units, 4 floors ... | Inspection Phase | Dec 02, 2024 |
| 0.6 mi | 230 MELBA ST | NEW CONSTRUCTION IMPROVEMENTS FOR A (4) DWELLING UNIT, MU... | Inspection Phase | Jun 18, 2025 |
| 0.7 mi | 111 W 8TH ST | A new construction of four units to include three single ... | Revisions Required | Sep 16, 2025 |
| 0.7 mi | 115 W 8TH ST | A new construction of four units to include three single ... | Revisions Required | Sep 16, 2025 |
| 0.7 mi | 117 W 8TH ST | A new construction of four units to include three single ... | Revisions Required | Sep 16, 2025 |
| 0.7 mi | 313 N BECKLEY AVE | QTeam Review, New Multifamily | Revisions Required | Jan 02, 2024 |
| 0.9 mi | 719 N ZANG BLVD | New Construction multi family apartment | Inspection Phase | Apr 11, 2023 |
| 1.1 mi | 820 VIOLA ST | New construction of 26 DWU, 3 story multifamily developme... | Revisions Required | Mar 10, 2025 |
| 1.2 mi | 510 W 10TH ST | QTEAM MEETING 6.4.2025 New construction of 24 unit multif... | Inspection Phase | May 12, 2025 |
| 1.2 mi | 1111 N MADISON AVE | QTEAM MEETING 10.22.2025 New construction of a 4 unit condo | Inspection Phase | Aug 18, 2025 |
| 1.3 mi | 400 N LANCASTER AVE | New construction of 16 unit multifamily. | Inspection Phase | Jan 28, 2025 |
| 1.3 mi | 312 N LANCASTER AVE | New Construction 16 Multifamily | Payment Due | Jan 19, 2023 |
| 1.4 mi | 911 E 8TH ST | QTEAM MEETING 6.5.2025 - 20 unit new construction multifa... | Payment Due | May 16, 2025 |
| 1.5 mi | 701 N LANCASTER AVE | New construction 16 condos | Payment Due | Oct 25, 2023 |
| 1.5 mi | 1510 E 11TH ST | Mixed-use residential and retail project with 204 units a... | Inspection Phase | Sep 29, 2021 |
| 1.7 mi | 909 E COLORADO BLVD | New construction multifamily. | Inspection Phase | Feb 04, 2025 |
| 1.8 mi | 1724 S DENLEY DR | Two Story Multifamily New Construction | Revisions Required | Dec 15, 2025 |
| 1.9 mi | 952 S CORINTH ST RD | QTEAM MEETING 3.12.2026 (1:30 PM) - REFERENCE SITE PLAN #... | Revisions Required | Feb 20, 2026 |
| 2.3 mi | 3500 W COLORADO BLVD | QTEAM Add carports to multi-family project | Inspection Phase | Sep 29, 2025 |
| 2.7 mi | 2621 SOUTHERLAND AVE | NEW 180 UNIT APARTMENT COMPLEX | Inspection Phase | Aug 12, 2024 |
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Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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THE OAKS is a 2022 mid-rise asset with 260 units across 186.4K SF of net leasable area, representing a modern Class D wood-frame construction in excellent condition. The property's walk score of 85 indicates strong pedestrian accessibility within Dallas, supporting its positioning as a senior-focused community. Parking type and amenity specifics are not detailed in available data; utility billing structure and pet policies require additional due diligence.
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Affordability mismatch signals senior-focused positioning necessity. The 1-mile affordability ratio of 17.2% is well below the 30% threshold, indicating rents are pitched to households earning $62K+—yet 38.7% of immediate residents fall below $50K. This bifurcation explains the "Senior Apartments" branding: the property targets fixed-income seniors (Social Security/pensions) rather than competing on market-rate economics with working-age renters. The 3-mile and 5-mile rings show progressive income decline (median HHI dropping from $65K to $60.3K) and rising renter concentration (46.7% to 57.1%), confirming the asset sits at the affluent edge of a workforce housing market. Income distribution is bimodal—heavy concentration under $50K (39.8% at 5-mile) and $100K+ (29.5% at 5-mile)—with thin middle class, limiting cross-income demand elasticity if the property pivots strategy.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 5 tracts (1mi)
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THE OAKS SENIOR APARTMENTS shows a single 2025 appraisal of $49.4M ($189.9K per unit), with improvements representing 91.2% of total value and land just 8.8%. The heavy weighting toward depreciating assets and thin land value ($16.7K per unit) suggests limited redevelopment optionality—any value creation hinges on operational performance rather than land play. Without prior-year appraisals, we cannot assess trajectory, but the per-unit basis appears reasonable for a 2022 stabilized senior housing asset in the Dallas market, assuming mid-80s occupancy and market-rate rents.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $49,388,860 |
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Review data is insufficient for meaningful quality assessment. A single 5-star review with no text provides zero signal on management execution, maintenance standards, or resident satisfaction patterns. The null prior-period rating prevents trend analysis. With only 1 review across 260 units, Google ratings carry negligible weight here—rely instead on physical inspection, resident interviews, and management audits to validate operational quality and condition.
1 reviews total
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