600 WINNERS CIR, ROWLETT (DALLAS CO), TX
$38,132,710
2025 Appraised Value
β 52.5% from prior year
PASS β Distressed asset masquerading as stabilized; fire damage, pricing mismatch, and data integrity failures preclude acquisition at appraisal.
The property's 52.5% YoY appraisal spike to $38.1M reflects post-fire insurance recovery rather than market fundamentals, and the zero-debt structure combined with "FIRE DMG" notation signals distressed positioning, not stabilized multifamily. Operationally, the 4.65% implied cap rate compresses 190 bps below the 6.02% submarket benchmark despite undermarket rents (1BR at $1.4K vs. $1.5K comp) and aggressive 8-week concessions, suggesting either appraisal timing disconnect or structural profitability headwinds that the valuation masks. The demographic profile requires 2β5 mile tenant capture to justify $1.4K rents in a workforce-constrained 1-mile radius (36.1% earn sub-$50K), while the Walk Score of 6 and zero transit access undermine middle-market positioning; tenant demand will likely skew cost-conscious or commuter-dependent. Critical red flags include 30% fire damage (64 units requiring restoration), material unit-mix data gaps (only one 1BR documented of 212 units), and concentrated management-performance risk around personality-dependent staff despite operational strength signals. Watch-list only if insurance resolution and structural remediation timeline clarify within 90 days; otherwise, the combination of distressed positioning, undermarket pricing, and data quality issues makes this a value-trap at current appraisal.
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Discover the ultimate in waterfront living at Sapphire Bay. Lakeview floorplans are now available.
Located on the shore of Sapphire Bay peninsula on Lake Ray Hubbard. Visualize an oasis of sun, fun, and waterfront living. A resort-style extravaganza in the middle of Rowlett's groundbreaking waterfront destination of Sapphire Bay at Lake Ray Hubbard. On Lake Ray Hubbard in Rowlett, Texas. Embark on an adventure at The View, where non-stop fun awaits! Immerse yourself in nature's beauty, exhilarating activities, and urban buzz, from tantalizing dining to tranquil lake excursions and uncovering hidden gems.
Critical Issue: Property Damaged by Fire; Limited Investment Value as-is
The View at Sapphire Bay Phase 1 presents significant structural and insurability risk that overrides otherwise strong fundamentals. Despite 2022 construction with modern finishes (white shaker cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless appliances, herringbone tile) and excellent unit condition documented in 111 photos, the 30% damage designation indicates material fire loss affecting approximately 64 units. Rebuild costs, extended vacancy during restoration, and potential insurance complications make this a distressed-asset play requiring substantial capital and timeline certainty rather than a traditional acquisition. The luxury-positioned amenities (resort-style pool, zero-entry spa, contemporary mid-rise waterfront design) and uniformly upgraded interiors (88 of 111 photos rated "excellent" condition) provide recovery upside if structural restoration and insurance/title issues resolve.
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Location Profile Undermines Rent Positioning
Walk Score of 6 and zero transit access classify this Rowlett property as deeply car-dependentβno pedestrian or multimodal options exist. At $1.4K/month, the rent assumes middle-market tenant quality that typically requires walkability to amenities and employment; this location delivers neither. Bike Score of 26 provides marginal value for commuting. Unless the property captures Dallas-bound commuters willing to tolerate 20+ minute drives for suburban pricing, tenant demand will skew toward cost-conscious renters accepting isolation, pressuring yield or requiring significant value-add operational improvements.
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Pipeline Threat Assessment: Minimal
Zero units in the development pipeline (0.0% of the 212-unit inventory) and no active nearby construction projects eliminate supply-side headwinds for this asset. The absence of competing deliveries removes a material constraint on occupancy stability and rent growth trajectory through the near-term hold period. Confirm submarket-level pipeline data separately, as local permitting activity may not fully capture regional competitive threats.
No multifamily construction permits found within 3 miles
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Fire-damaged asset with no active debt creates refinancing flexibility but signals distressed positioning. The property carries zero debt despite a $38.1M appraised value and 212 units ($180K per unit), unusual for a 2022-vintage multifamily deal typically levered 60β70%. The dual same-day conveyances in February 2022 from related Sapphire Bay entities (land and operating company transfers) suggest a restructuring rather than an arm's-length acquisition, and the "FIRE DMG" prefix indicates material damage reducing operational income. Absentee COMPANY ownership combined with no lender presence suggests either a distressed hold awaiting recovery or an entity caught between insurance proceeds and reconstructionβneither position implies operational stability. Without current DSCR data or loan maturity pressure, the refinancing risk is low, but the debt-free structure likely masks negative cash flow from fire damage remediation, making this a workout or repositioning play rather than a stabilized income opportunity.
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The 4.65% implied cap rate reflects significant compression relative to the 6.02% submarket benchmark, suggesting the property is priced as stabilized despite fire damage notation and 30% occupancy cushion. At $8.4K NOI per unit against a submarket average of $193.8K per unit value, this asset trades at a 4.3% cap rate floorβwell below Dallas Class A/B norms of 5.5β6.5%βindicating either premium operational execution or appraisal timing disconnect. The 50% opex ratio is healthy for a 2022 vintage, but the $4.5K tax burden per unit (54% of NOI) creates structural headwinds; any property tax reassessment post-fire could materially compress returns. The appraised value ($38.1M) vs. implied valuation ($38.1M Γ· 0.0465) signals the appraisal may predate current rate environment or damage remediation completion.
Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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The View at Sapphire Bay Phase 1 is a 212-unit, 5-story mid-rise completed in 2022 in Rowlett with 276.8K SF of brick construction and wood-frame design in excellent condition. Unit finishes skew premiumβhardwood-style flooring, quartz countertops, stainless appliances, 10-foot ceilings, and in-unit W/D standardβwith select units featuring lakefront views and built-in desks. Parking is structured garage; the property fronts Lake Ray Hubbard on the Sapphire Bay peninsula, positioning it as a lifestyle/amenity-driven asset rather than a commuter play (Walk Score: 6). Resort-oriented common areas (sky lounge, resort pool, fire pits, trails) suggest renter profile weighted toward leisure and views over transit access.
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Rental Performance Summary:
The property is severely undermarket across all unit types, with 1BR asking rents averaging $1.4M versus the $1.5M submarket benchmark, and 2BR units $1.9M below the $2.1M market compβa structural pricing issue unlikely driven by market softness given 17.9% submarket rent growth YoY. The 8-week free rent concession is aggressively sized, suggesting either repositioning/stabilization challenges or deliberate value-add leasing strategy to fill the 16 available units (7.5% vacancy). Recent lease events show wide 1BR dispersion ($1.4Kβ$1.8K) and stronger 2BR/3BR pricing ($1.7Kβ$3.6K), indicating either mixed tenant quality or phase/location segmentation within the community. The property name flag ("FIRE DMG") and 30% occupancy notation warrant cautionβthis appears to be a distressed or early-stage asset still in lease-up.
Estimated from listed vacancies vs total units
Min/avg/max asking rents from property website
| Unit | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | Status | Listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | 1 | 720 | $1,400 | Active | Apr 26 | 711 | |
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Apr $1,400
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| 3BR | 2 | 1,642 | $3,564 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $3,564
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| 3BR | 2 | 1,459 | $3,035 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $3,035
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,309 | $2,233 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $2,233
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,304 | $2,057 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $2,057
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,200 | $1,956 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,956
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,158 | $1,805 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,805
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| 1BR | 1 | 784 | $1,754 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,754
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,138 | $1,730 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,730
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,110 | $1,730 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,730
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| 1BR | 1 | 783 | $1,629 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,629
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| Studio | 1 | 560 | $1,506 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,506
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| 1BR | 1 | 828 | $1,455 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,455
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| 1BR | 1 | 744 | $1,404 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,404
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| 1BR | 1 | 744 | $1,383 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,383
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| 1BR | 1 | 709 | $1,379 | Inactive | Mar 22 | β | |
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Mar $1,379
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| C1 HC | 3BR | 2 | 1,497 | β | Inactive | Mar 22 | β |
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Affordability stress at 1-mile radius with supply/demand mismatch. The immediate trade area shows a 25.8% rent-to-income ratio against a $78.0K median household income, exceeding the 25% comfort threshold, while 58.9% renter occupancy indicates strong captive demand. However, this is a workforce-constrained submarket: 36.1% of 1-mile households earn under $50K, yet $1.4K monthly rent targets the $75K+ cohort (47.3% of radius). The property is overlevered to the surrounding demographicβthe 3-mile radius (31.6% renters, $96.9K income, 22.9% affordability ratio) and 5-mile ring ($108.2K income, 28.5% renters) suggest the asset must capture upmarket tenants from a 2β5-mile drive, not from immediate walkup demand. This urban-to-suburban income gradient signals either prime location premium or lease-up risk if marketing doesn't penetrate the higher-income rings efficiently.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) Β· 2 tracts (1mi)
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Unit Mix Alert: Data Integrity Issue
This property reports 212 total units but only one 1-bedroom unit documented across all bedroom categoriesβa clear data inconsistency that renders meaningful mix analysis impossible. The single $1.4K rent point and 720 sq ft unit provide no basis for market comparison or demographic alignment assessment. Recommend data reconciliation before further underwriting; this property cannot be evaluated on current information.
Estimated from 1 listed units (0.5% of 212 total)
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The 52.5% YoY appreciation to $38.1M reflects post-fire recovery rather than market fundamentalsβa 2022 asset with fire damage history now appraised at $180.1K per unit. Land represents only 11.8% of total value, leaving minimal redevelopment optionality; the improvement-heavy capital structure indicates value is locked in the rebuilt structure. Without prior appraisals, the spike likely captures insurance proceeds and remediation completion, not organic market gains. Benchmark this valuation against comparable 2022-vintage stabilized multifamily in the market before underwriting as a distressed recovery or trading at full replacement cost.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $38,132,710 | +52.5% |
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Rating deterioration and concentrated satisfaction signal operational strength masking potential underlying issues. The 4.9 overall rating masks a 30 basis point decline from 5.0 to 4.7 over the past six months, driven entirely by two 1-star reviews citing discriminatory leasing conduct and management rudenessβboth operational/compliance risks rather than property condition issues. The 96 five-star reviews overwhelmingly praise individual staff members (Katrina, Cathy, Marshall, Olivia, Janie) and rapid maintenance response, suggesting strong day-to-day management execution but also dangerous concentration risk around personality-dependent performance. The absence of complaints about maintenance, noise, pests, or unit quality supports the investment thesis on asset condition, though the two low reviews indicate management culture and hiring/training gaps that warrant deeper due diligence on ownership/operator stability and compliance protocols.
100 reviews total
Iβve had an amazing experience from the time I walked through the doors until moving in. Katrina was patient and kind, and the entire staff has been such a joy to work with. I absolutely love my apartment. I highly recommend The View!
I really appreciate our maintenance supervisor, Marshall, because work orders are always addressed quickly and efficiently and we had no issues during recent the ice storm, unlike nearby apartments!
Iβm a current resident and have lived here for about 10 months, this complex is top notch from the amenities to their customer service. The units have beautiful finishes and their staff is always so helpful with anything needed. We love it so much we are moving to a bigger unit here. We love ALL of the office staff, but Janie and Cathy have been specifically very helpful in our time here! These ladies are amazing!
Janie, olivia, cathy, katrina, and carrie are all amazing professionals. I love my apartment !
A+++++ service ! You guys are a Great team of employees . I really appreciate you guys going above and beyond .To make me feel at home ..Keep up the good work ! Wish you guys a happy new years !
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