9000 VANTAGE POINT DR, DALLAS, TX, 752430530
$48,600,000
2025 Appraised Value
↑ 1.3% from prior year
📍 This parcel is part of the PAVILLIONS AT PEBBLE VIEW community — scraped data shown is for the full community.
The property's primary investment signal is a $14.7M valuation gap between appraised ($48.6M) and estimated sale value ($33.9M), indicating material mark-to-market pressure or portfolio liquidation at distressed pricing—a red flag for basis sustainability. Financially, the asset sits at 48–65% LTV with ~$23.7M in CBRE debt likely maturing 2023–2024, creating imminent refinance risk at rates 200+ bps above original pricing; conservative leverage offers limited downside protection given the valuation disconnect. Market positioning is constrained: the 1-mile radius shows tight 24.3% affordability against a $65K median HHI with 37.5% of households sub-$50K, while tenant demand support requires penetration into the 3–5 mile affluent ring ($91.9K MHI, 36.7% earning $100K+)—difficult for a Class B/C asset with 64% partial renovations and bifurcated unit finishes. Zero pipeline construction eliminates supply competition, but deteriorating submarket vacancy signals structural demand weakness independent of new deliveries; combined with the property's car-dependent Walk Score of 54 and deferred maintenance profile, rent growth headwinds appear pronounced. Recommendation: Watch list. The valuation gap and refinance maturity timing warrant close monitoring, but current positioning suggests either distressed seller motivation or market consensus of overvaluation—insufficient margin of safety for acquisition unless price approaches $33–35M and renovation capital is quantified.
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Pavillions at Vantage Point is a partially renovated 1998 mid-rise with inconsistent unit finishes limiting value perception. Approximately 64% of analyzed units (7 of 11 photos) show upgraded finishes—predominantly 2016–2020 renovations featuring white shaker/slab cabinetry, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and subway tile—while 36% remain builder-grade with original bathrooms and basic fixtures. This bifurcation suggests selective unit renovations rather than property-wide capital investment, creating a mixed portfolio within a single 312-unit asset. The 1998 construction date and prevalence of original bathrooms indicate significant deferred maintenance opportunity; completing kitchen and bath renovations across non-upgraded units could drive NOI uplift and standardize positioning to current Class B standards.
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The property's walkability profile presents a moderate accessibility constraint relative to transit-dependent tenant demand. With a Walk Score of 54 and Transit Score of 56, Pavillions at Vantage Point occupies the threshold between car-dependent and transit-viable submarkets—sufficient for commuters with transit access but insufficient for car-free living. The Bike Score of 43 indicates minimal last-mile utility. Without rent data, we cannot assess price-to-location alignment, but a 312-unit Class A asset in Dallas typically commands $1.4M–$1.7M in annual rent premium per 100 units; if rents exceed Dallas CBD averages by 5%+, this location risks tenant leakage to higher-walkability properties on the Central/Lower Greenville corridor.
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Zero pipeline risk, but submarket fundamentals are softening. With 0.0% new supply in the pipeline and no active construction nearby, PAVILLIONS AT VANTAGE POINT faces no near-term competitive pressure from new deliveries. However, the deteriorating vacancy trend in the submarket suggests demand weakness or prior overbuilding—making this a rent growth headwind regardless of new supply. Downside protection from new competition is offset by structural occupancy risk in the broader market.
No multifamily construction permits found within 3 miles
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Maturity and Refinancing Risk: Both CBRE CAP MARKETS loans ($23.7M each) lack disclosed maturity dates and rate data, limiting refinance risk assessment; however, the 2013 origination (120-month term) suggests potential maturity around 2023–2024, creating near-term refi exposure at rates materially higher than the likely sub-4% original pricing. Leverage and Motivation: At $76K/unit debt against a $156K/unit appraised value ($110K estimated sale price), loan-to-value sits conservatively around 48–65% depending on which debt figure applies; the 3-year ownership hold and absentee corporate structure indicate a hold strategy rather than distress. Valuation Gap: The $14.7M spread between appraised ($48.6M) and estimated sale value ($33.9M) signals either mark-to-market pressure or that the property is trading significantly below book—consistent with a portfolio owner managing maturity risk proactively.
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Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Based on most recent loan: $23,700,000 (Jun 2016, attom)
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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Pavillions at Vantage Point is a 312-unit garden-style apartment community built in 1998 with brick exterior and wood-frame construction across three stories, offering 325K SF of gross building area. The property carries a "Good" quality rating with "Fair" condition, suggesting deferred maintenance or capital needs typical of a 26-year-old asset. Located in Dallas with a Walk Score of 54 (car-dependent) and 4.1 Google rating, the community lacks disclosed parking specifications, utility inclusions, and formal amenity documentation—typical gaps for assets requiring updated marketing materials.
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Affordability risk concentrated in immediate submarket; property anchors workforce-renter core within affluent suburban ring. The 1-mile radius shows 69.3% renter occupancy and a 24.3% affordability ratio against $65.0K median HHI—tight for a 312-unit Class B/C asset without rent data to confirm positioning. The income distribution skews lower locally (37.5% under $50K) versus the 5-mile radius (33.2%), signaling the property captures price-sensitive renters despite a 41% jump in area MHI to $91.9K at 5 miles. The 3-mile and 5-mile rings show healthier affordability ratios (21.1% and 20.0%) and stronger affluent cohorts (31.4% and 36.7% earning $100K+), indicating the property's demand support lies in a broader commute shed rather than walkable immediate vicinity. Population density and renter concentration remain robust across all three rings (59–69%), confirming multifamily demand depth, though rent sustainability depends on whether unit mix and amenities capture upscale renters from the 3–5 mile trade area or remain locked into the constrained 1-mile workforce base.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 4 tracts (1mi)
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Appraisal Summary: Pavilions at Vantage Point
Current appraised value of $48.6M translates to $155.8K per unit—modest appreciation of 1.3% YoY suggests a mature, stabilized asset with limited upside from market revaluation. The 17.9% land-to-total-value ratio ($8.7M land) offers minimal redevelopment optionality; the property is improvement-heavy, typical for a 1998 garden-style complex unlikely to support teardown economics at this basis. Single appraisal point prevents trend analysis; recommend requesting 3-5 year history to assess whether 1.3% reflects market stagnation or cycle timing.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $48,600,000 | +1.3% |
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