15820 KNOLL TRAIL, DALLAS, TX, 752482770
$15,593,220
2025 Appraised Value
↑ 0.0% from prior year
🏘️ Community includes 2 DCAD parcels (236 total units)
The property is overpriced relative to market fundamentals and exhibits structural demand constraints that undermine the premium valuation. Kensington Square trades at $143.4K per unit (9.8% above submarket) with an estimated 6.65% cap rate 46 bps tighter than comps, yet actual performance signals distress: two-bedroom rents lag submarket by 13.7%, the property is bleeding concessions (one month free), and walk Score of 48 positions a $1.53K rent in a car-dependent neighborhood misaligned with tenant preference trends. The $2.8M gap between appraised value ($15.6M) and estimated sale price ($18.4M) reflects this disconnect—the implied 7.84% cap rate suggests the market is pricing in downside risk that current ownership's model ignores. While the 5.25% FHA loan (40-year fixed through 2065) eliminates refinancing risk and the 1-mile demographic profile ($95.6K median HHI, 48.1% earning $100K+) supports affluent renters, tenant base concentration tightens sharply beyond 3 miles as demand shifts suburban—a tight infill play with limited geographic elasticity in a softening submarket (-2.77% YoY). Unit-level renovations are scattered and dated (mostly 2000s–2015 honey oak kitchens, laminate counters); repositioning ~105 units would require genuine full modernization, not cosmetic updates.
Directional read: Pass. Premium pricing, negative rent momentum, structural walkability mismatch, and submarket headwinds make this a seller's asset at inflated valuation—acquisition only if seller concedes 15%+ below estimated sale price.
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LIVE THE COUNTRY CLUB LIFE
Luxury community in North Dallas offering 1 and 2-bedroom apartments with breathtaking views of the Bent Tree Country Club. Features include woodburning fireplaces, oval soaking tubs, large balconies, and hardwood floors.
Kensington Square exhibits a fragmented renovation history with limited modern value-add potential. The property shows mixed finishes across 128 units: 23 upgraded units versus 6 builder-grade, with kitchen renovations clustered in the 2000s-2015 window, but most featuring honey oak cabinetry, laminate countertops ($X cost floor), and standard white appliances—well below Class A standards. Bathroom finishes are similarly dated, with quartz appearing in only one unit versus predominantly laminate/laminate countertops and honey oak vanities across the sample. The exterior garden-style architecture (1992 vintage) and resort-style pool amenities position this as a mid-market Class B property, but the scattered renovation timeline and absence of modern finishes (quartz kitchens, stainless appliances, shaker cabinetry) suggest either prolonged capital deferral or selective unit-by-unit upgrades that failed to move the needle—limiting upside to repositioning the remaining ~105 units with genuine full modernization rather than cosmetic updates.
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Location severely underperforms rent positioning. Walk Score of 48 and Transit Score of 40 classify this as car-dependent with minimal transit access, yet $1.53K monthly rent suggests mid-market positioning that typically requires stronger urban connectivity. The "Somewhat Bikeable" designation (49) offers no compensatory amenity density. This rent-to-walkability mismatch signals either overpriced units relative to neighborhood infrastructure or a tenant base accepting car dependency—a risky positioning given Dallas multifamily supply and ongoing shift toward transit-adjacent demand. Underwriting should stress-test lease-up velocity and retention against comparable car-dependent stock or justify rent premium via on-site amenities not captured in these scores.
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The pipeline represents minimal direct pressure at 0.78% of existing units, but deteriorating submarket vacancy (currently trending weaker) means any new supply will face softer absorption dynamics. The single nearby project—1 unit in permits, filed Feb 2025 and in inspection phase—is likely a minor renovation or mixed-use addition rather than a competing multifamily development, suggesting limited near-term occupancy risk. However, the submarket's negative trajectory warrants monitoring of broader pipeline activity beyond this single permit, as rental growth will depend on velocity of lease-up elsewhere in the market.
| Distance | Address | Description | Status | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3 mi | 8230 FRANKFORD RD | NEW CONSTRUCTION MFD. 125 UNITS SENIOR LIVING. | Inspection Phase | Feb 24, 2025 |
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Kensington Square trades at a significant premium to submarket comparables, pricing in stabilized yield expectations despite dated Class C construction. The $143.5K price per unit sits 9.8% above submarket ($130.8K), while the estimated 6.65% cap rate undercuts submarket by 46 bps—a spread typically reserved for newer assets or value-add upside. The 45.0% opex ratio and 5.5% vacancy are healthy, but NOI of $9.6K per unit appears modest for premium pricing in a 6.5%+ rate environment. The $2.8M gap between appraised ($15.6M) and estimated sale price ($18.4M) signals either recent value creation, optimistic pro forma assumptions, or a market disconnect; the 7.84% implied cap rate—76 bps wider than estimated—suggests the market is pricing in downside risk that current ownership's model may not reflect.
Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Based on most recent loan: $15,250,000 (Jul 2023, hud_fha) @ 5.25%
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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Kensington Square is a 128-unit, 2-story garden apartment built in 1992 with 117.8K SF of leasable area and wood frame construction rated in excellent condition. Unit finishes are upscale for the vintage—granite countertops, hardwood/wood plank floors, 9-foot ceilings, fireplaces, and walk-in closets—suggesting mid-2000s+ renovations. Parking is attached garage; the property also features two resort pools and 24-hour fitness. Located in North Dallas with golf course views overlooking Bent Tree Country Club (Walk Score 48), the community targets affluent suburban renters; notably, pet policy charges $100 initial plus $10/day per animal, suggesting strict enforcement and ancillary revenue potential.
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Kensington Square is underperforming market rent benchmarks across all unit types while aggressively conceding to fill vacancy. One-bedrooms are asking $1,464 versus a $1,399 submarket benchmark (+4.6%), but two-bedrooms trail significantly at $1,700 versus $1,970 (-13.7%), suggesting weakness in larger units. With 7 of 128 units (5.5%) actively marketed and one-month free rent (4.3 weeks) now standard, the property is offering material concessions in a submarket contracting at -2.77% YoY—a defensive posture inconsistent with pricing power. Recent lease capture across one-bedrooms ranges $1,355–$1,580 with wide dispersion, indicating inconsistent tenant quality or rapid turnover.
Estimated from listed vacancies vs total units
Min/avg/max asking rents from property website
| Unit | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | Status | Listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2BR | 2 | 1,068 | $1,805 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,805
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,074 | $1,595 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,595
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| 1BR | 1 | 970 | $1,580 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,580
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| 1BR | 1 | 977 | $1,525 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,525
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| 1BR | 1 | 805 | $1,440 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,440
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| 1BR | 1 | 861 | $1,420 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,420
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| 1BR | 1 | 795 | $1,355 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,355
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| A (TwnHm) | 1BR | 1 | 739 | — | Inactive | Mar 22 | — |
| H (TwnHm) | 2BR | 2 | 1,103 | — | Inactive | Mar 22 | — |
| J (TwnHm) | 2BR | 2 | 1,158 | — | Inactive | Mar 22 | — |
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Affluent urban core with strong affordability fundamentals, but rental demand concentration tightens beyond immediate submarket. The 1-mile radius shows 73.6% renter occupancy and $95.6K median household income against a 22.3% affordability ratio—strong enough to support $1.5K+ rents, with 48.1% of households earning $100K+. However, renter concentration drops 7.5 percentage points to 66.1% at 3 miles and 16.4 points to 57.2% at 5 miles, signaling this is a tight urban infill play with limited geographic demand elasticity; suburban ring households increasingly favor ownership. Income distribution skews high across all radii ($100K+ represents 48%, 38.3%, and 40.2% respectively), positioning this as an upper-workforce/affluent renter asset rather than affordable housing, which limits addressable market depth if rents face downward pressure.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 3 tracts (1mi)
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Animals or pets must not be harbored, sheltered or housed without Richdale's prior written consent. Initial charge of $100.00 per animal/pet and daily charge of $10.00 per animal/pet applies if brought to premises without consent.
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Appraisal Summary: Kensington Square Apt (ECU)
With only one appraisal on file (2025: $15.6M), no value trend can be assessed. The property carries a per-unit appraisal of $121.8K, with land representing 22.4% of total value and improvements 77.6%—a typical split for a stabilized 1992-vintage asset that suggests limited redevelopment upside absent significant land appreciation. The 0.0% YoY change is a floor reading pending prior-year comparables.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15,593,220 | +0.0% |
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