1961 ARAPAHO RD, GARLAND (DALLAS CO), TX, 75040
$53,000,000
2025 Appraised Value
↑ 1.9% from prior year
Operational deterioration and tactical pricing weakness override supply-side protection, signaling a distressed hold masking as stabilized. Google reviews collapsed 60 bps in six months (4.1% to 3.5%) with 26.6% one-star ratings clustered around deferred maintenance (pest control, door repairs), aggressive fee extraction ($65/month forced internet bundles), and basic amenity failures—indicating capital spending cuts and resident retention erosion that will suppress exit valuations. Rents across 2-bed and 3-bed units track 12.5–19.9% below submarket, with active 6-week concessions on select floorplans contradicting the tight 3.0% reported vacancy; this gap signals leasing-to-fill rather than pricing power. The asset's 4.99% implied cap rate sits 35 bps tight to market benchmarks despite submarket vacancy weakness and zero construction pipeline—a valuation disconnect that reflects a premium being paid for income stability, not quality or growth. Carдепendent walkability (score 33) and builder-grade finishes limit pricing upside, while demographics skew the property toward affluent 3-mile suburban renters rather than the immediate underserved 1-mile demographic.
Recommendation: PASS. The combination of documented operational lapses, rent concessions masking demand softness, and fair-value pricing on a deteriorating asset leaves no margin for execution risk or macro headwinds in a market showing early demand signals (zero pipeline despite saturation concerns).
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Northside at the Woodlands is a 2019 mid-rise asset in fair-to-good condition with inconsistent capital allocation that limits near-term value-add potential. Builder-grade finishes dominate (3 of 4 units assessed), but selective 2022 renovations suggest piecemeal upgrades rather than a comprehensive capital plan. Bathroom fixtures show material wear—rust staining and toilet degradation visible despite the property's recent vintage—indicating either deferred maintenance or aggressive tenant turnover without refresh cycles. The split renovation timeline (2016-2020 and 2021-present) confirms non-standardized capital spending, creating competitive disadvantage versus fully modernized Class B competitors. Exterior facade and pool amenities are contemporary and well-maintained, but interior finish lag and documented hygiene issues position this as a value-add play requiring systematic unit repositioning rather than a stabilized Class A or B hold.
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Location fundamentals severely constrain value creation. The property's walk score of 33 and transit score of 31 position it firmly in car-dependent territory, yet the $1.51K average rent targets price-sensitive renters unlikely to absorb transportation cost premiums. This walkability-rent mismatch suggests either pricing misalignment or tenant mix skewing toward working families with vehicle ownership (mitigating the car dependency). The "Some Transit" designation provides minimal upside for service-sector or downtown Dallas employees, limiting the addressable tenant pool and creating vulnerability to transit expansion in competing submarkets.
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Pipeline Analysis: NORTHSIDE AT THE WOODLANDS
Zero competing units in the pipeline (0.0% of current 300-unit inventory) removes supply-side headwinds for occupancy and rent growth in the near term. However, the deteriorating submarket vacancy trend signals demand weakness that new supply constraints won't offset—this property faces margin compression from fundamentals, not competition. The absence of pipeline activity suggests either market saturation or weak developer confidence in The Woodlands multifamily absorption, both bearish signals for rent trajectory regardless of protective supply dynamics.
No multifamily construction permits found within 3 miles
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NORTHSIDE AT THE WOODLANDS trades below market cap rate despite stabilized operations. At 4.99% implied cap, the property is priced 35 bps tighter than the 5.34% submarket benchmark, indicating either premium asset quality or limited upside. NOI per unit of $8.8K sits modestly below the $8.8K–$9.2K typical range for Class A Dallas metro assets, though the 50.0% opex ratio and 3.0% vacancy are both healthy. The disconnect suggests this 2019 vintage asset is pricing as stabilized income—not value-add—limiting IRR potential without operational leverage or capital appreciation.
Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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Northside at The Woodlands is a 300-unit, four-story mid-rise built in 2019 with wood-frame construction and brick exterior, encompassing 244.0K SF across Garland in Dallas County. The property is rated EXCELLENT in both quality and condition with unit mix spanning 1–3 bedrooms; parking type is unspecified. Pet policy allows up to two animals with a $350 one-time fee plus $25/month rent, excluding 15 specified aggressive breeds and exotic animals. Located in a car-dependent area (Walk Score 33), the property offers no utilities included in rent.
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Key Takeaway: Northside at the Woodlands is materially underpriced relative to submarket benchmarks across all unit types, with 2-bed units tracking 12.5% below market ($1.77M vs. $2.02M) and 3-bed units 19.9% below ($2.15M vs. $2.68M), suggesting either significant occupancy pressure or strategic positioning. The active deployment of 6 weeks free rent on select units indicates the property is leasing to fill vacancy—9 available units represent a 3.0% availability rate, which is tight but the concession depth suggests demand softness. 1-bed rents show the tightest clustering ($1.18M–$1.37M across recent comps), while premium 3-bed product commands full rate with no concession depth, implying stronger demand for smaller floorplans or rent resistance at the high end.
Estimated from listed vacancies vs total units
Min/avg/max asking rents from property website
| Unit | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | Status | Listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3BR | 2 | 1,248 | $2,150 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $2,150
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,178 | $1,789 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,789
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,174 | $1,765 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,765
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,026 | $1,749 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,749
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| 1BR | 1 | 822 | $1,365 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,365
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| 1BR | 1 | 745 | $1,250 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,250
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| 1BR | 1 | 743 | $1,235 | Active | Apr 12 | 725 | |
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Apr $1,235
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| 1BR | 1 | 743 | $1,180 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,180
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| Studio | 1 | 580 | $1,150 | Active | Mar 22 | — | |
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Mar $1,150
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| Unit 299 | 1BR | 1 | 743 | $1,165 | Inactive | Sep 29 | 37 |
| — | BR | — | $1,025 | Inactive | Feb 13 | 540 | |
| A2 | 1BR | 1 | 650 | — | Inactive | Mar 22 | — |
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Affordability mismatch in immediate submarket; property targets affluent renters in supply-constrained urban core. The 1-mile radius shows 49.8% renter occupancy but a 30.0% affordability ratio—meaning renters earning the median $68.9K household income spend roughly 26.5% of income on the $1.5K average rent, crossing the 30% threshold. This signals the property underserves its immediate demographic; instead, it captures renters from the 3-mile ring ($92.3K median income, 35.7% renter base, 21.8% affordability ratio), where higher earners find comfortable payment ratios. The income distribution reinforces this: 39.6% of 3-mile households earn $100K+, versus 31.5% in the 1-mile ring, indicating deliberate targeting of the broader suburban affluent cohort rather than the walkable urban core. Population scale (122K households in 3-mile radius) provides sufficient demand depth, though the declining renter concentration moving outward (49.8% → 35.7% → 44.1%) suggests competitive multifamily supply compression within the immediate mile.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 3 tracts (1mi)
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Data integrity issue prevents analysis. The unitmix summary reports only 2 total units (1 studio + 1 one-bedroom) while listingsby_bedroom shows 9 units across four bedroom types. Without reconciliation of the authoritative unit count and bedroom distribution across the 300-unit property, any mix analysis—concentration risk, rent-per-sqft trends, or demographic alignment—would be unreliable. Recommend verifying the complete unit schedule before proceeding.
Estimated from 2 listed units (0.7% of 300 total)
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Pets allowed. One time fee $350. Monthly rent $25. Maximum two animals per apartment. Animals must be at least 6 months old. Aggressive breeds not allowed including: Pit Bull, Rottweiler, Presa Canario, German Shepherd, Husky, Malamute, Doberman, Chow Chow, St. Bernard, Great Dane, Akita, Staffordshire Terriers, American Bull Dog, Karelian Bear Dog, and hybrids/mixed breeds of these. Reptiles, Ferrets, Skunks, Raccoons, Squirrels, Rabbits, Birds, Pigs, Arachnids, Piranhas, and farm/poisonous animals not allowed. Aquariums allowed with 5-gallon maximum on first floor only with proof of insurance.
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Appraisal Summary: Northside at the Woodlands
The property is appraised at $53.0M ($176.7K per unit), reflecting modest 1.9% YoY appreciation in a recent stabilized asset. Land represents just 5.9% of total value ($3.1M), indicating minimal redevelopment optionality—the improvement stack is the value driver. Single-year data limits trend analysis, but flat-to-modest growth suggests the market is pricing this 2019 vintage asset fairly without speculative upside.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $53,000,000 | +1.9% |
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Rating deterioration signals operational and maintenance lapses undermining asset quality. The 60-basis-point decline in average rating over six months (4.1% to 3.5%) reflects a sharp shift in resident satisfaction, with 26.6% of all reviews one-star versus 58.5% five-star, suggesting a bifurcated tenant experience. Negative reviews cluster around three systemic issues: (1) maintenance responsiveness and pest control (cockroaches cited multiple times, door/gate repairs neglected 6+ months), (2) aggressive fee practices (forced $65/month bulk internet, disputed charges, towing without adequate re-registration notice), and (3) basic amenity failures (parking shortages, elevator filth, security lapses). While individual staff members—particularly leasing agent Maricela and maintenance lead Cordeiro—receive consistent praise, their performance cannot offset organizational dysfunction. This review pattern indicates capital expenditure deferred on common areas and mechanical systems, coupled with extractive revenue tactics that erode resident retention and pricing power—material risks for valuation and exit strategy.
201 reviews total
I’ve been here three years everything is great. Maricela helps me every time I stop by the office and she is very nice and helpful! Makes everything very easy for me which I like very much! Grateful for her work and dedication!
Owner response
Hi Eddie,
We're delighted to hear about your positive experience over the past three years. It's wonderful to know that Maricela has been so helpful and dedicated. Thank you for sharing your kind words!
Llevo tiempo viviendo aquí y la atención de Maricela ha sido impecable desde el primer día. Siempre profesional, amable y dispuesta a ayudar con cualquier duda.
Owner response
Hi Keyla, thank you for sharing your positive experience. We're delighted to hear that Maricela provided exceptional service. We appreciate your trust and look forward to continuing to meet your expectations.
Lived here for 4 years & wouldn’t recommend this place at all.
Owner response
Hi Jasmine,
Thank you for leaving a review. We're sorry to hear about your experience. Please feel free to reach out to us at northside@avenue5apt.com or call us at (214) 559-7382 to discuss your concerns further. We'd like to see what we can do to help make it right. Thank you.
we need a sign for speed limit is horrible how the people drive so fast here, yesterday someone almost hit me when i was walking with my dog, we need a sign limit for speed, and 1 stop sign .
Owner response
Hello, thank you for sharing your concerns about the speed limit and safety in our community. We will review the situation to ensure a safer environment for everyone. If you have further concerns, please feel free to reach out to us at northside@avenue5apt.com or call us at (214) 559-7382.
They charge you a money that you Dont have to pay
Owner response
Hi Cesar,
Thank you for sharing your feedback. We're sorry to hear about your concerns regarding charges. Please reach out to us at northside@avenue5apt.com or call us at +1 214-559-7382 so we can assist you further. Your satisfaction is important to us.
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