14181 NOEL RD, DALLAS, TX, 752544386
$36,878,760
2025 Appraised Value
↓ 4.3% from prior year
The core risk is a 4.3% YoY appraisal decline on a debt-free, 26-year-old Class B asset priced 12.4% above submarket comps, combined with rental underperformance in a weakening Dallas micromarket. With zero leverage, the owner ($36.9M asset value, $166.2K per unit) faces no refinancing pressure but also no margin for error; the appraised value sits $18.3K above market-implied pricing ($148K per unit), suggesting either outdated appraisal methodology or unproven quality premiums. Financially, NOI of $8.96K per unit runs 11–15% below Class A/B benchmarks despite a reasonable 5.4% cap rate, indicating either structural expense drag or rent softness the 13.5% availability rate and modest concession posture (no quantified incentive) appear to mask. Demographically, the property draws higher-income renters from a 3–5 mile radius (96%+ median household income, $150K+ cohort at 24%), but the immediate 1-mile ring shows acute affordability strain (25.9% ratio at $68.8K median income), creating dependency on white-collar job stability and limited downside protection if the core weakens further.
Pass or deep-dive watch-list only. The debt-free structure and location optionality appeal, but the appraisal-to-market disconnect, declining per-unit fundamentals, and soft submarket dynamics (zero new supply, deteriorating vacancy, no rent growth) suggest this is a hold-to-maturity asset whose owner has already captured value—not an acquisition opportunity with clear value-add or repositioning thesis.
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Find your perfect fit at Neo at Midtown
Life at Neo at Midtown comes with amenities designed to elevate your lifestyle. Whether you're looking for relaxation, recreation, or everyday convenience, this North Dallas apartment community has you covered. Soak up the sun at the resort-style pool, crush your fitness goals in the state-of-the-art gym, or entertain friends in the modern resident clubhouse. Inside your apartment home, you'll find spacious layouts and stylish finishes that make daily living a pleasure. From modern kitchens with stainless steel appliances to private balconies and cozy fireplaces in select homes, your Neo at Midtown apartment is designed with comfort in mind.
Neo Midtown Phase I shows selective unit-level upgrades consistent with post-2020 renovations, but limited photographic evidence prevents comprehensive assessment. The 222-unit, 1998-built property displays upgraded finishes in sampled units—white quartz countertops, charcoal gray shaker cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, and fresh paint—positioning those units as Class B. However, with only 13 photos analyzed (mostly floorplans) and no exterior, amenity, or bathroom documentation, the scope of renovation across the portfolio remains unclear; this partial data set suggests either selective unit upgrades or incomplete photo capture. The mid-rise configuration and estimated 2020–2022 renovation timeline indicate value-add potential if original units retain dated finishes, though unit-level consistency and penetration rates cannot be determined from current imagery.
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NEO MIDTOWN PHASE I exhibits a location-demand mismatch. With a Walk Score of 66 and Transit Score of 45, the property occupies a car-dependent submarket that typically commands 15–20% rent premiums only in high-barrier coastal markets; at $1.48K/month, rents reflect no walkability premium. The Bike Score of 59 suggests modest last-mile utility, but without stronger transit access (45 is below the 50 threshold for meaningful commute viability), tenant appeal hinges on proximity to employment rather than neighborhood amenities or car-free lifestyle. This pricing argues the unit mix and condition—not location—drive economics, positioning the asset as a supply-constrained play rather than a location arbitrage opportunity.
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Construction Pipeline Assessment:
Zero pipeline units relative to this 222-unit property presents no near-term supply threat, but deteriorating submarket vacancy suggests demand weakness rather than supply constraint relief. The absence of permitted projects signals either mature market saturation or developer pause—worth confirming through municipal records, as this typically precedes rent pressure. Absence of competing deliveries is immaterial if underlying occupancy fundamentals are already sliding.
No multifamily construction permits found within 3 miles
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No active debt on the books, but the 2010 quit claim deed and 15-year hold suggest a stabilized, passive ownership position rather than a refinancing-driven sale signal. With $166.1K per unit in appraised value and zero leverage, the owner has optionality but no maturity pressure—typical of a long-term hold by an absentee entity (AERC San Raphael LLC) that acquired the property via nominal consideration. The single transaction since acquisition and absence of refinance activity indicate this is being held for income, not flipped; a motivated seller would likely have tapped equity or faced maturity deadlines by now. Without loan data, DSCR cannot be assessed, but the debt-free structure eliminates refinancing risk entirely—a competitive disadvantage if the market has tightened cap rates significantly since the 1998 construction.
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NOI per unit of $8.96K sits 11-15% below Dallas Class A/B comps, suggesting either above-market expenses or below-market rents for a 1998 vintage asset. The 5.4% implied cap rate sits 85 basis points inside the 6.25% submarket benchmark, indicating the property is priced as stabilized despite a 45% opex ratio that's reasonable but not exceptional. The $36.9M appraised value implies a $166.3K per unit valuation—$18.3K or 12.4% above the $148K submarket average—creating a material gap between appraisal and market-implied pricing that suggests either outdated appraisal assumptions or genuine property-level quality premiums worth stress-testing.
Estimated from loan records, rental listings, and appraisal data using industry-standard assumptions.
Computed from nearby properties within 3 miles of similar vintage
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NEO MIDTOWN PHASE I is a 222-unit garden-style apartment community built in 1998 with wood-frame construction across three stories, offering 217.5K SF of gross building area in North Dallas (Walk Score 66). Unit finishes reflect excellent condition with washer/dryer connections, walk-in closets, and spacious layouts, supported by resort-style pool and state-of-the-art gym amenities. No utilities are included in rent; parking type is not specified. Pet policy allows up to two animals at $400 one-time plus $20/month, with breed restrictions on pit bull variants and similar breeds subject to management approval.
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Neo Midtown Phase I is pricing at or above market benchmarks despite soft submarket fundamentals. The property's $1.5M blended ask sits $161 above the submarket 1BR benchmark ($1,498) and $212 below the 2BR benchmark ($1,976), though 2BR units at $1.76M average are underperforming their category by $216. With 30 units available against 222 total (13.5% availability) and a generic "Limited-Time Special" concession offering no quantified incentive, the property appears to be holding pricing without deploying aggressive rent relief despite -2.49% submarket rent decline. The 2BR outperformance by rent volume—commanding a $469 spread over 1BR—suggests tenant demand remains bifurcated, favoring larger units.
Estimated from listed vacancies vs total units
Min/avg/max asking rents from property website
| Unit | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | Status | Listed | Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2BR | 2 | 1,221 | $1,985 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,985
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,331 | $1,882 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,882
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,150 | $1,807 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,807
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,331 | $1,786 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,786
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,182 | $1,732 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,732
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| 2BR | 2 | 1,182 | $1,614 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,614
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| 2BR | 1 | 1,000 | $1,544 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,544
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| 1BR | 1 | 755 | $1,419 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,419
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| 1BR | 1 | 829 | $1,393 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,393
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| 1BR | 1 | 891 | $1,379 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,379
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| 1BR | 1 | 829 | $1,357 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,357
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| 1BR | 1 | 812 | $1,327 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,327
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| 1BR | 1 | 761 | $1,291 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,291
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| 1BR | 1 | 680 | $1,289 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,289
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| 1BR | 1 | 891 | $1,267 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,267
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| 1BR | 1 | 678 | $1,257 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,257
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| 1BR | 1 | 678 | $1,172 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,172
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| 1BR | 1 | 680 | $1,102 | Active | Mar 20 | — | |
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Mar $1,102
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| A3R | 1BR | 1 | 755 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| A4R | 1BR | 1 | 761 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| A5R | 1BR | 1 | 812 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B1 | 2BR | 1 | 1,000 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B2 | 2BR | 2 | 1,058 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B2R | 2BR | 2 | 1,058 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B3 | 2BR | 2 | 1,072 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B3R | 2BR | 2 | 1,072 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B4 | 2BR | 2 | 1,150 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B7 | 2BR | 2 | 1,214 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B7R | 2BR | 2 | 1,214 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
| B8 | 2BR | 2 | 1,221 | — | Inactive | Mar 20 | — |
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Affordability risk in dense urban micromarket offset by broader suburban demand cushion. The 1-mile radius shows acute tension: 86.8% renter concentration and $68.8K median income yield a 25.9% affordability ratio—structurally tight for $1,478 monthly rent and vulnerable to income compression. However, the 3-mile and 5-mile rings reveal materially stronger fundamentals: median household income climbs to $96.5K–$96.4K with affordability ratios of 18.7–19.8%, suggesting the property captures spillover demand from higher-income renters priced out of ownership (median home values jump from $217.4K to $451.2K in the 3-mile ring). The income distribution skew rightward at 3- and 5-mile scales (23.6–24.2% earn $150K+) indicates an affluent renter cohort rather than workforce housing, which supports premium positioning but creates dependency on white-collar employment stability and limited downside protection if the 1-mile core weakens.
Source: US Census ACS 5-Year Estimates (2023) · 9 tracts (1mi)
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Max 2 pets allowed. One time fee $400. Monthly rent $20 per pet. Restrictions: Any hybrid or mixed breed with any of the following: Pit Bull, Staffordshire Terrier, American Bull Dog, German Shepherd, Malamute, Rottweiler, Doberman, Dalmatian, Akita, Chow, Presa Canario. This list is not all inclusive of all breeds and Management has final approval.
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Appraisal Summary – NEO Midtown Phase I
Current appraised value of $36.9M reflects a 4.3% YoY decline, positioning the asset at $166.2K per unit—a notable compression that warrants market context, as 1998 vintage Class B/C product typically trades stronger in current rate environments. The land-to-total split of 20.3% is lean for a 222-unit Dallas asset, suggesting either tight urban infill positioning or that improvements dominate the value stack; limited land value ($7.5M) constrains meaningful redevelopment upside without significant additional acquisition. Without prior-year appraisals, the directional decline alone cannot confirm distress versus cyclical underperformance, but the single-year drop combined with the modest improvement-value-to-unit ratio ($132.5K) suggests either rental pressure or capitalization rate expansion warranting operator performance review.
| Year | Total Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $36,878,760 | -4.3% |
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Insufficient data for meaningful analysis. With only two reviews (both identical, posted same day in Feb 2026) across 222 units, the 5.0 rating reflects move-in experiences with a single staff member rather than operational performance. No negative reviews exist to signal maintenance, turnover, or management issues, but the sample size is too small to validate property condition or quality claims—this reads as pre-stabilization or newly delivered asset with minimal tenant tenure. Recommend monitoring rating trajectory over next 12–18 months once occupancy matures.
2 reviews total
I moved in today with Ace and he’s been great communicating with everything I needed. He even helped me with utilities.
I moved in today with Ace and he’s been great communicating with everything I needed. He even helped me with utilities.
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